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Old 08-05-2010, 10:57 PM   #1
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
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I am sending this, as the NHC site is down due to a power outage from lightning. Therefore, at this time, I will not have a tracking map. I do believe he will continue NW, then recurve as forecast.

COLIN MAP FROM WEATHER UNDERGROUND http://icons-pe.wund...es/at201004.gif 000 WTNT34 KNHC 052059 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 500 PM AST THU AUG 05 2010 ...REMNANTS OF COLIN REGENERATE AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ONCE AGAIN.... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.9N 66.3W ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HR. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH SLOW STRENGTHENING FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WINDS...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $ FORECASTER BEVEN

000 WTNT24 KNHC 052058 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 2100 UTC THU AUG 05 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 66.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 66.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.6N 67.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.1N 67.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.6N 67.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 35SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.3N 67.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 36.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 40.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 49.0N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 66.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $ FORECASTER BEVEN T. F. "STORM" WALSH III GMCS, USCG (ret) METEOROLOGIST/TROPICAL FORECASTER MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS (webmaster) CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
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